#KaburAjaDulu: The Influence of National Resilience on Migration Intention Among Indonesian Gen Z

https://doi.org/10.22146/jp.114245

Muhamad Adrian(1), Qibti Adewiyah Lestari(2), Nira Mahdiyata(3), Ahmad Sulaiman(4*)

(1) Faculty of Psychology, University of Muhammadiyah Malang
(2) Faculty of Psychology, University of Muhammadiyah Malang
(3) Faculty of Psychology, University of Muhammadiyah Malang
(4) Faculty of Psychology, University of Muhammadiyah Malang
(*) Corresponding Author

Abstract


The viral social media phenomenon #KaburAjaDulu reflects high migration intentions among Indonesian Generation Z (aged 19–28) seeking better lives and career opportunities abroad. This phenomenon poses a potential brain drain issue that could impede the realization of the Golden Indonesia 2045 Vision. Therefore, this study addresses a fundamental research question: Does national resilience significantly influence Generation Z's migration intention, and how is this dynamic explained within the Theory of Planned Behavior framework?. In this context, national resilience is conceptualized as a nation's collective capacity to foster stability and optimism in facing adversity, thereby strengthening citizens' trust in their country's future. This research employs a non-experimental quantitative approach with a simple correlational design. The study subjects comprised 365 Generation Z respondents in Indonesia engaged with the trend, selected via accidental sampling. Data were collected using the National Resilience Scale (NR-13) and the Intention to Emigrate Scale. The hypothesis was tested using simple linear regression analysis. The results indicate that national resilience significantly reduces migration intention. This study demonstrates that national resilience is a crucial factor influencing decisions to migrate. Low levels of nationalism, unity, and trust in public institutions tend to increase migration intention. These findings highlight the importance of strengthening national resilience to retain quality human capital in Indonesia. 


Keywords


Brain Drain; Generation Z; #KaburAjaDulu; Migration Intention; National Resilience.

Full Text:

PDF


References

Aeni, N. (2019). Pengambilan keputusan menjadi pekerja migran Indonesia perempuan. Jurnal Litbang: Media Informasi Penelitian, Pengembangan dan IPTEK, 15(2), 107-120. https://doi.org/10.33658/jl.v15i2.151

Ajzen, I. (1991). The theory of planned behavior. Organizational behavior and human decision processes, 50(2), 179-211. https://doi.org/10.1016/0749-5978(91)90020-T

Alvi, M. (2016). A manual for selecting sampling techniques in research. https://mpra.ub.uni- muenchen.de/id/eprint/70218

Andersen, B. P., Al-Shawaf, L., & Bearden, R. (2021). Positive schizotypy predicts migration intentions and desires. Personality and Individual Differences, 182, 111096. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.paid.2021.111096

BPS (2020). Jumlah Penduduk menurut Wilayah, Klasifikasi Generasi, dan Jenis Kelamin, INDONESIA, Tahun 2020. https://sensus.bps.go.id/topik/tabular/sp2020/2/0/0

Bean, H. (2018). National resilience. Journal of Applied Communication Research, 46(1), 23-25. https://doi.org/10.1080/00909882.2018.1426709

Binekasri, R. (2025, March 1). Awas #KaburAjaDulu Bisa Bawa Petaka Baru ke RI, BRIN Kasih Peringatan. https://www.cnbcindonesia.com/news/20250301132802-4-614698/awas-kaburajadulu-bisa-bawa-petaka-baru-ke-ri-brin-kasih-peringatan

Bongers, A., Díaz-Roldán, C., & Torres, J. L. (2022). Highly skilled international migration, STEM workers, and innovation. Economics, 16(1), 73-89. https://doi.org/10.1515/econ-2022-0022

Bui, M. V., McInnes, E., Ennis, G., & Foster, K. (2023). Resilience and mental health nursing: An integrative review of updated evidence. International Journal of Mental Health Nursing, 32(4), 1055-1071.https://doi.org/10.1111/inm.13132

Chrismardani, Y. (2016). Theory of planned behavior sebagai prediktor Intensi berwirausaha. Competence: Journal of Management Studies, 10(1). https://doi.org/10.21107/kompetensi.v10i1.3426

De Jong, G. F., & Fawcett, J. T. (1981). Motivations for Migration: An Assessment and a Value-Expectancy Research Model. Migration Decision Making. New York: New York Pergamon. https://doi.org/10.1016/b978-0-08-026305-2.50008-5

Domagała, A., & Dubas-Jakóbczyk, K. (2019). Migration intentions among physicians working in Polish hospitals–Insights from survey research. Health Policy, 123(8), 782-789. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.healthpol.2019.06.008

Fang, T., & Lu, Y. (2025). From Emigration to National Resilience: Migration, Identity, and Cultural Security in Contemporary Ireland. International Journal of Frontiers in Sociology, 7(4). https://doi.org/10.25236/IJFS.2025.070409

Febriani, A. (2025, February 5). Mengenal Istilah "KaburAjaDulu" Yang Viral di X. https://rri.co.id/lain-lain/1305726/mengenal-istilah-kaburajadulu-yang-viral-di-x

Gani, J. A. (2025, February 19). Fenomena 'Kabur Aja Dulu' dan 'Indonesia Gelap': Suara Gen Z yang Tak Bisa Diabaikan. https://depokraya.pikiran-rakyat.com/khazanah/pr-3299079223/fenomena-kabur-aja-dulu-dan-indonesia-gelap-suara-gen-z-yang-tak-bisa-diabaikan

Goštautaitė, B., Bučiūnienė, I., Milašauskienė, Ž., Bareikis, K., Bertašiūtė, E., & Mikelionienė, G. (2018). Migration intentions of Lithuanian physicians, nurses, residents and medical students. Health Policy, 122(10), 1126-1131. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.healthpol.2018.07.001

Hanan, S., & Hasanah, K. (2025). Efek Paparan Tagar# KaburAjaDulu terhadap Intensi Bekerja ke Luar Negeri Mahasiswa. Jurnal Ilmu Komunikasi, 23(2), 1-22. https://doi.org/10.31315/jik.v23i2.15683

Hany, A. F., Siregar, N. S., & Heman, S. (2021). Aktualisasi Kesadaran Bela Negara Bagi Generasi Muda Dalam Meningkatkan Ketahanan Nasional. Jurnal Pendidikan Kewarganegaraan.

Hoong, L. C., & Soon, D. (2012). A study on emigration attitudes of young Singaporeans (2010) (No. id: 4742).

Irhamsyah, F. (2019). Sustainable development goals (SDGS) dan dampaknya bagi ketahanan nasional. Jurnal Lemhannas RI, 7(2), 45-54. https://doi.org/10.55960/jlri.v7i2.71

Kimhi, S., & Eshel, Y. (2019). Measuring national resilience: A new short version of the scale (NR‐13). Journal of community psychology, 47(3), 517-528. https://doi.org/10.1002/jcop.22135

Kimhi, S., Eshel, Y., Lahad, M., & Leykin, D. (2019). National resilience: A new self-report assessment scale. Community mental health journal, 55, 721-731. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10597-018-0362-5

Kompas.com (2025, February 19). Kabur Aja Dulu, Indonesia Gelap, dan Kegelisahan Gen Z Kita. https://www.kompas.com/edu/read/2025/02/19/053000471/kabur-aja-dulu-indonesia-gelap-dan-kegelisahan-gen-z-kita

Kompas.tv (2025, February 18). #KaburAjaDulu Serukan WNI Pindah ke Luar Negeri, Begini Data Warga yang Pindah Kewarganegaraan. https://www.kompas.tv/nasional/574832/kaburajadulu-serukan-wni-pindah-ke-luar-negeri-begini-data-warga-yang-pindah-kewarganegaraan

Konadi, W., Musrizal, B. A., Azhari, S. E., Asean, C. P. A., Kamaruddin, M. M., & Rahmad, S. (2025). Penduduk dan Pembangunan: Analisis Demografis dan Empiris. Merdeka Kreasi Group.

Manchin, M., & Orazbayev, S. (2018). Social networks and the intention to migrate. World Development, 109, 360-374. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2018.05.011

Ponzanesi, S. (2020). Digital diasporas: Postcoloniality, media and affect. Interventions, 22(8), 977-993. https://doi.org/10.1080/1369801X.2020.1718537

Prayitno, G., Nugraha, Z., Subagiyo, A., & Wigayatri, M. (2021). Pengaruh Internet Terhadap Intensi Migrasi Internasional Kaum Muda di Perdesaan (Studi Kasus Di Desa Tambakasri). Tata Loka 23 (2), 281,297.https://doi.org/10.14710/tataloka.23.2.281-297

Putra, P. (2016). Analisis Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengarugi Intensi Muzaki Membayar Zakat: Sebuah Survey pada Masyarakat Kota Bekasi. MASLAHAH (Jurnal Hukum Islam Dan Perbankan Syariah), 7(1), 99-109. https://doi.org/10.33558/maslahah.v7i1.1185

Rahim, A., Fitriyani, I., & Ningrum, R. S. (2022). Analisis faktor-faktor yang menentukan minat migrasi penduduk sirkuler ke kota Sumbawa. Jurnal Ekonomi & Bisnis, 10(1), 61-72. https://doi.org/10.58406/jeb.v10i1.731

Reznikova, O. (2022). National resilience in a changing security environment. National Institute for Strategic Studies, Kyiv. https://www.marshallcenter.org/sites/default/files/files/2023-01/National%20Resilience_EN.pdf

Rivero Fuentes, M. E., Hare, T., & Miller‐Graff, L. (2024). Between a rock and a hard place: Multisystem resilience and Honduran youth migration intentions. International Migration, 62(2), 53-65. https://doi.org/10.1111/imig.13253

Salugiasih, L. I. (2025, February 19). Tren Kabur Aja Dulu Viral: Awal Mula, Pemicu, dan Respons Pemerintah. https://tuwaga.id/artikel/tren-kabur-aja-dulu-viral-alasan-dan-respons-pemerintah/

Simbolon, T. G. (2025, January 8). Data Jumlah Pekerja Migran Indonesia Sepanjang 2024. https://dataindonesia.id/tenaga-kerja/detail/data-jumlah-pekerja-migran-indonesia-sepanjang-2024

Sugiyono. (2020). Metodologi Penelitian Kuantitatif, Kualitatif, dan R&D. Alfabeta. Bandung.

Sumaryo, A., & Putra, P. (2021). Faktor yang mempengaruhi intensi masyarakat menjadi nasabah bank syariah ditinjau dari planned behaviour theory (survei pada masyarakat kota bekasi). MASLAHAH (Jurnal Hukum Islam Dan Perbankan Syariah), 12(1), 49-59.

Traikova, D., Möllers, J., & Petrick, M. (2018). Go west? Emigration intentions of young Bulgarian agricultural specialists. Journal of Rural Studies, 62, 134-145. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jrurstud.2018.07.008

Ungar, M., & Theron, L. (2020). Resilience and mental health: How multisystemic processes contribute to positive outcomes. The Lancet Psychiatry, 7(5), 441-448. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2215-0366(19)30434-1

Widati, M. A., & Muafi, M. (2020). Analisis pengaruh makna kerja dan resiliensi terhadap intention to leave yang dimediasi oleh kepuasan kerja. JBTI: Jurnal Bisnis: Teori Dan Implementasi, 11(2), 149-166https://doi.org/10.18196/jbti.v11i2.9593



DOI: https://doi.org/10.22146/jp.114245

Article Metrics

Abstract views : 18 | views : 0

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.


Copyright (c) 2026 Populasi

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.


Copyright of Jurnal Populasi ISSN 0853-6202 (PRINT), ISSN: 2476-941X (ONLINE).


Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.

 

Populasi Indexed by:

ROAD  

web
analytics View My Stats