The Impact of Climatic Factors on Rice Production in Indonesia
Aura Dhamira(1*), Irham Irham(2)
(1) Department of Agricultural Socio-Economics, Faculty of Agriculture, Universitas Gadjah Mada
(2) Department of Agricultural Socio-Economics, Faculty of Agriculture, Universitas Gadjah Mada
(*) Corresponding Author
Abstract
Rice production is greatly affected by climatic factors which keep changing along with time. Therefore, the effects of climate change on rice production in Indonesia need to be studied. The objectives of this study are to determine: (1) the difference of interregional climate in each region and (2) the impact of climatic factors on rice production in Indonesia. Just and Pope Production function was used as the analytical frameworks, and Cobb-Douglas function form was used to analyze the data. The analysis was conducted with regards to rice production in ten provinces in Indonesia from 1985 to 2017. The result shows that there were some differences in climatic condition in each region in Indonesia. The regression analysis shows that maximum temperature and minimum temperature have positive impacts on rice production, on the other hand, El Nino and La Nina affect the production negatively. The results of this study can be considered by the policy makers in making decisions related to adaptation and mitigation on climate change encounter.
Keywords
Full Text:
PDFReferences
Astriah, E., Daniel, & Prawitosari, T. (2017). Analisis jenis dan tingkat serangan hama dan penyakit pada tanaman padi menggunakan alat spektrometer. Jurnal AgriTechno, 1(1), 71–88. https://doi.org/10.1021/jacs.7b00823
Bhuvaneswari, K., Geethalakshmi, V., Lakshmanan, A., Srinivasan, R., & Sekhar, N. U. (2013). The Impact of El Niño/Southern oscillation on hydrology and rice productivity in the cauvery basin, India: Application of the soil and water assessment tool. Weather and Climate Extremes, 2, 39–47. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2013.10.003
Cabas, J., Weersink, A., & Olale, E. (2010). Crop yield response to economic, site and climatic variables. Climatic Change, 101(3), 599–616. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-009-9754-4
Chen, C., Zhou, G. S., & Zhou, L. (2014). Impacts of climate change on rice yield in china from 1961 to 2010 based on provincial data. Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 13(7), 1555–1564. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2095-3119(14)60816-9
Ghadirnezhad, R., & Fallah, A. (2014). Temperature effect on yield and yield components of different rice cultivars in flowering stage. International Journal of Agronomy, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1155/2014/846707
Hadi, T. W. (2010). Scientific Basis: Analysis and Projection of Temperature and Rainfall.
Holst, R., Yu, X., & Grün, C. (2013). Climate change, risk and grain yields in China. Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 12(7), 1279–1291. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2095-3119(13)60435-9
Just, R. E., & Pope, R. D. (1978). Stochastic specification of production functions and economic implications. Journal of Econometrics, 7(1), 67–86. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-4076(78)90006-4
Khandelwal, S., Goyal, R., Kaul, N., & Mathew, A. (2018). Assessment of land surface temperature variation due to change in elevation of area surrounding Jaipur, India. Egyptian Journal of Remote Sensing and Space Science, 21(1), 87–94. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrs.2017.01.005
Li, Y., Strapasson, A., & Rojas, O. (2020). Assessment of El Niño and La Niña impacts on China : Enhancing the Early Warning System on Food and Agriculture. Weather and Climate Extremes, 27(April 2019), 100208. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2019.100208
Lu, S., Bai, X., Li, W., & Wang, N. (2019). Impacts of climate change on water resources and grain production. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 143(July 2018), 76–84. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2019.01.015
Mahmood, N., Arshad, M., Kächele, H., Ma, H., Ullah, A., & Müller, K. (2019). Wheat yield response to input and socioeconomic factors under changing climate: Evidence from rainfed environments of Pakistan. Science of the Total Environment, 688, 1275–1285. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.06.266
Nabilah, F., Prasetyo, Y., & Sukmono, A. (2017). Analisis pengaruh fenomena El Nino dan La Nina terhadap curah hujan tahun 1998 - 2016 menggunakan indikator ONI (Oceanic Nino Index) (Studi Kasus: Provinsi Jawa Barat). Jurnal Geodesi Undip, 6(4), 402–412.
Nurhayanti, Y., & Nugroho, M. (2015). Sensitivitas Produksi Padi Terhadap Perubahan Iklim Di Indonesia Tahun 1974-2015. Agro Ekonomi, 27(2), 183–196.
Peng, S., Huang, J., Sheehy, J. E., Laza, R. C., Visperas, R. M., Zhong, X., Centeno, G. S., Khush, G. S., & Cassman, K. G. (2004). Rice yields decline with higher night temperature from global warming. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 101(27), 9971–9975. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0403720101
Perdinan, Atmaja, T., Adi, R. F., & Estiningtyas, W. (2018). Adaptasi perubahan iklim dan ketahan pangan: telaah inisiatif dan kebijakan. Jurnal Hukum Lingkungan Indonesia, 5(1), 60–87.
Purwantara, S. (2015). Studi Temperatur Udara Terkini di Wilayah Jawa Tengah dan DIY. Geomedia, 13, 41–52.
Ruminta, R. (2016). Analisis penurunan produksi tanaman padi akibat perubahan iklim di Kabupaten Bandung Jawa Barat. Kultivasi, 15(1), 37–45. https://doi.org/10.24198/kultivasi.v15i1.12006
Salampessy, Y. L. ., Lubis, D. P., Amien, I., & Suhardjito, D. (2018). Menakar kapasitas adaptasi perubahan iklim petani padi sawah (kasus Kabupaten Pasuruan Jawa Timur). Jurnal Ilmu Lingkungan, 16(1), 25. https://doi.org/10.14710/jil.16.1.25-34
Santoso, A. B. (2016). Pengaruh perubahan iklim terhadap produksi tanaman pangan di Provinsi Maluku. Jurnal Penelitian Pertanian Tanaman Pangan, 35(1), 29–38. https://doi.org/10.21082/jpptp.v35n1.2016.p29-38
Sarker, M. A. R., Alam, K., & Gow, J. (2014). Assessing the effects of climate change on rice yields: An econometric investigation using Bangladeshi panel data. Economic Analysis and Policy, 44(4), 405–416. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eap.2014.11.004
Siddiqui, R., Samad, G., & Nasir, M. (2018). The impact of climate change on major agricultural crops: evidence from Punjab , Pakistan. The Pakistan Development Review, 51(4), 261–276.
Stone, S., León, M. C., & Fredericks, P. (2010). Perubahan Iklim & Peran Hutan: Manual Komunitas. Conservation International.
Sumaryanto. (2016). Estimasi Kapasitas Adaptasi Petani Padi Terhadap Cekaman Lingkungan Usahatani Akibat Perubahan Iklim. Jurnal Agro Ekonomi, 31(2), 115. https://doi.org/10.21082/jae.v31n2.2013.115-141
Tan, B., Id, Y., Quyen, N. H., Duong, T. H., Kham, D. Van, & Sebastian, L. (2019). Modeling ENSO impact on rice production in the Mekong River Delta. 1–19.
Tukidi. (2010). Karakter Curah Hujan Di Indonesia. Jurnal Geografi, 7(2), 136–145. https://doi.org/10.15294/jg.v7i2.84
Wassmann, R., & Dobermann, a. (2007). Climate change adaptation through rice production in regions with high poverty levels. SAT EJournal ICRISAT, 4(1), 1–24. http://www.icrisat.org/Journal/SpecialProject/sp8.pdf
World Meteorological Organization. (2019). WMO Statement on the State of the Global Climate in 2019 (Issue 1248).
Wu, N., Guan, Y., & Shi, Y. (2011). Effect of water stress on physiological traits and yield in rice backcross lines after anthesis. Energy Procedia, 5, 255–260. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egypro.2011.03.045
Yin, X. G., Olesen, J. E., Wang, M., & Öztürk, I. (2016). Climate effects on crop yields in the Northeast Farming Region of China during 1961 – 2010. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0021859616000149
Yoshida, S. (1981). Fundamentals of Rice Crop Science. In International Rice Research Institute. https://doi.org/10.1626/pps.1.199
Yuliawan, T., & Handoko, I. (2016). The effect of temperature rise to rice crop yield in Indonesia uses Shierary Rice Model with Geographical Information System (GIS) Feature. Procedia Environmental Sciences, 33, 214–220. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.proenv.2016.03.072
DOI: https://doi.org/10.22146/ae.55153
Article Metrics
Abstract views : 7879 | views : 5569Refbacks
- There are currently no refbacks.
Copyright (c) 2018 Agro Ekonomi
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
View My Stats